Is Now the Right Time to Buy a House in the UK?
We begin the new year with a less optimistic view of the property market when compared to last year. If to go off figures reported in December the property market during 2025 did not perform as well as was predicted. In fact, the year had a positive first half with buyer demand being up 3% for the first six months of 2025 but then fell 6% in the second half of the year, therefore the year ended up retracing the gains and ended being 0.6% lower for the year.
It was very much a story of different performance across different region. For example The North West performed relatively well with a yearly gain of 2.6% but on the other end of the scale the South West fell 2.6%. First time buyer homes fell in price the most ending the year 1.4% lower. Prices for homes at the top of the ladder remained relatively unchanged at just 0.2% lower than they were the previous year.
During December 2025 The Bank of England Base Rate was lowered to 3.75%. In turn mortgage rates have fallen and the average 5 year fixed rate now stands at 4.38%. The rate of inflation remains above the governments target of 2% and has fallen to 3.2%, this recent fall in the inflation rate is largely due to a fall in food price inflation. With higher costs for consumers at the shops and with bills this may negatively affect the affordability for those who are wishing to buy a home.
What Are the Current House Price Figures?
In the UK there are various different sources that analyse the market and produce average house price figures with differing results so here's a look at what each index has reported:
Halifax
The Halifax House Price Index reported in January and represents figures for December, shows a monthly decline of -0.6% and a year on year growth rate of 0.3%. The year ended up towards the low end of Halifax's prediction which was for the year to end somewhere between 0% and 3%. According to Halifax the average house price stands at £297,755, which shows that all the property price gains in the second half of the year were erased and the national house price is currently the lowest since June.
Nationwide
The Nationwide House Price index for September shows a 0.5% house price increase since August. The annual house price has also shown a modest monthly increase of 0.1%, from 2.1% in August to 2.2% in September. There has been an average of 65,000 mortgage approvals which is similar to the pre pandemic levels which is said to be comparatively positive seeing that mortgage interest rates are far higher these days. The report for September shows that the national house price ended up at £271,995.
Zoopla
Similar to Rightmove, Zoopla record advertised "For Sale" prices so they are always more optimistic than Land Registry results and prices that are reported by mortgage lenders. Zoopla are reporting that house prices inflation has slowed at 1.3% higher than the previous year, this figure is down from 1.9% in December so in theory house price growth has slowed significantly in 2025. Similar to Rightmove, Zoopla have downgraded their growth forecast by half from 2% to 1%. According to Zoopla the average house price currently stands at £268,400.
Rightmove
House Prices on Rightmove are based on asking prices and the UK average now stands at £373,709. July's figures show a significant decrease of £4,531 which is 1.3% lower than the previous month. Most significantly Rightmove have lowered their growth forecast for 2025 from 4% to 2%. The full report for July can be seen here.
Office of National Statistics
The Office of National Statistics now reports data in a report that is called Private Rent and House Prices. The data for July shows that over the past year the national house price has increased 3.9% for figures recorded up to May and stands at £269,000. These figures are delayed by a couple of months as they are based on completed prices.
Should You Buy a House in 2025 or Wait?
2025 started positively with many transactions and increased house prices. This was largely due to people trying to complete before the April 1st Stamp Duty hikes. Now that's out the way house prices have started to fall. As we enter the second half of the year analysts have realised a more pessimistic view of how the year will end up and have lowered their growth forecasts.
There is currently the most available stock that we have seen in a decade and buyers have plenty of choice. With there being far more properties for sale than available buyers, purchasers could take advantage of it being a buyers market.
There is a risk that house prices could fall further and maybe even take a tumble with a domino effect of sellers having to reduce their asking price multiple times. With this in mind house prices have reduced since their all time highs so as a buyer you will not be buying at the top of the market. It could be a good opportunity to grab a bargain from a seller who may have been trying to sell their home for quite a while, particularly for properties at the higher end of the market as we have seen that the higher priced properties have been taking far longer to sell. House buyers will likely see a lot of asking prices that have been recently reduced and buyers could find themselves in a good position to further ask for a reduction in the sale price.
Here are some of the predictions of how far house prices could rise or fall during 2025:
2025 House Price Predictions
| Source | Prediction |
|---|---|
| Zoopla | 1% |
| Halifax | 0% – 3% |
| Savills | 3.5% |
| Knight Frank | 2.5% |
| Lloyds Bank | 0% – 3% |
| Rightmove | 2% |
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